ND Idrija vs Dren Vrhnika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Idrija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2025 |
NKI
3 - 3
RUD
10%
14%
76%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2025 |
SEN
2 - 1
NKI
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
NKI
1 - 2
SLE
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
TOL
1 - 0
NKI
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NKI
1 - 2
TOL
10%
16%
74%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Dren Vrhnika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2025 |
NKI
0 - 1
DRV
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
DRV
2 - 1
MNK
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2025 |
NKD
1 - 1
DRV
8%
14%
78%
|
52 | 9 | 43 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
FVI
0 - 3
DRV
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
NKD
1 - 3
DRV
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |