NK Grad vs Aluminij analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
75.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Grad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
RAK
2 - 2
GRA
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 2
LJU
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
BEL
3 - 1
GRA
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 2
RAD
88%
9%
4%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
POL
2 - 1
GRA
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
DOM
3 - 1
ALU
63%
21%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
ALU
2 - 5
MAR
28%
25%
46%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
TRI
1 - 3
ALU
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
ALU
2 - 1
CEL
28%
27%
46%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
ALU
1 - 6
OLI
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |