Cres vs Vinodol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
12º
11º
35
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 44 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
92% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 44 |
4º
|
92.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 40 |
5º
|
97.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
89.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 38 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 36 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 32 |
11º
|
96.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KRK
1 - 1
NKC
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
POM
3 - 3
NKC
86%
10%
4%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NKC
1 - 0
NNH
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NKC
4 - 3
NKC
13%
17%
70%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +4 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NKB
2 - 0
NKC
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vinodol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VNV
3 - 1
NKB
51%
21%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NEH
3 - 0
VNV
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VNV
1 - 1
NKR
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PAZ
0 - 1
VNV
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VNV
2 - 0
NKK
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |