Cres vs Vinodol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NKR
3 - 1
NKC
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
NKC
1 - 1
PAZ
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ROV
1 - 2
NKC
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
NKC
2 - 0
ULJ
20%
20%
61%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Vinodol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
VNV
1 - 0
NKG
11%
16%
73%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
VNV
2 - 0
NKB
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
NKR
1 - 0
VNV
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
VNV
1 - 1
PAZ
16%
19%
66%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
VNV
0 - 2
ROV
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |