Nissa FC ASD vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
66.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nissa FC ASD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 0
NIS
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NIS
0 - 3
AGR
20%
24%
55%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NOT
6 - 0
NIS
74%
17%
9%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NIS
0 - 4
ACI
35%
28%
37%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
NIS
0 - 4
FCS
22%
24%
54%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CIT
1 - 0
RAG
71%
17%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NUO
5 - 2
CIT
69%
18%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CIT
0 - 0
MES
44%
25%
30%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
LIC
1 - 0
CIT
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CIT
3 - 1
CAV
36%
26%
37%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |