Nigeria U20 vs South Africa U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
SUD
1 - 1
NGA
31%
24%
46%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
NGA
2 - 0
TAN
84%
11%
4%
|
59 | 9 | 50 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
TAN
1 - 2
NGA
10%
19%
71%
|
59 | 9 | 50 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2012 |
SUD
1 - 0
NGA
26%
23%
51%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
ARG
1 - 0
NGA
84%
11%
5%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
SUD
1 - 1
NGA
31%
24%
46%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
SUD
4 - 0
BWA
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SUD
1 - 0
COG
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
COG
2 - 1
SUD
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
SUD
7 - 6
JAP
26%
23%
51%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |