CHAN Qualifying Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 3-2
Niger vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TGO
1 - 0
NER
60%
22%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SEN
3 - 1
NER
80%
15%
6%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
UGA
1 - 1
NER
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
DZA
1 - 0
NER
87%
10%
4%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
NER
1 - 1
TZA
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TGO
1 - 0
NER
60%
22%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
CPV
2 - 0
TGO
50%
25%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
TGO
2 - 2
SWZ
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
DZA
0 - 0
TGO
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
TGO
1 - 1
BEN
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |