Niger vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
NER
0 - 0
CIV
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
NER
0 - 2
MLI
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1992 |
LBY
0 - 0
NER
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1991 |
CIV
5 - 2
NER
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 1988 |
BFA
1 - 0
NER
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
NER
0 - 2
MLI
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1992 |
MLI
2 - 1
LBY
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1992 |
LBY
0 - 1
MLI
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1991 |
MAR
3 - 0
MLI
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1991 |
MLI
2 - 0
GIN
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |