Nievenheim vs Cronenberger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
39.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nievenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NIE
1 - 1
SFN
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TSR
1 - 4
NIE
18%
19%
63%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
RAT
3 - 1
NIE
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -3 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NIE
2 - 3
TEW
86%
9%
4%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
WUL
0 - 3
NIE
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +4 |
Matches
Cronenberger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VFL
0 - 3
CRO
13%
17%
70%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CRO
4 - 1
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 0
SFB
30%
22%
49%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FCR
1 - 0
CRO
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 1
SSV
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +4 |