Nieuwenhoorn vs Hilversum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
DWV
2 - 0
NIE
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
NIE
0 - 2
ELI
13%
18%
69%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
FTA
7 - 1
NIE
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
NIE
2 - 4
FCB
15%
21%
65%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
DWS
2 - 0
NIE
79%
15%
7%
|
26 | 62 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Hilversum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ELI
1 - 2
HIL
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
HIL
2 - 1
FTA
25%
24%
52%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
HIL
1 - 2
TNG
68%
19%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
HIL
2 - 1
HAA
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
WES
2 - 0
HIL
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |