Nieuwenhoorn vs Capelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
56.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
11º
6º
54
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
72% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
KLO
3 - 1
NIE
70%
17%
14%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NIE
2 - 2
ARC
21%
21%
58%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
POO
4 - 0
NIE
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NIE
2 - 0
DED
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ODI
2 - 4
NIE
84%
11%
5%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAP
3 - 2
ZWA
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GOE
3 - 1
CAP
38%
25%
38%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 1
ACH
33%
25%
41%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
JOD
2 - 2
CAP
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 0
SMI
58%
21%
20%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |