Nice vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MET
2 - 1
NIC
25%
26%
50%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
NIC
1 - 0
ASS
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
MON
2 - 2
NIC
68%
19%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
NIC
1 - 0
AMI
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
NIC
1 - 2
MON
26%
23%
51%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
TFC
1 - 0
TRO
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
BOU
2 - 0
TFC
14%
20%
66%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
MPL
2 - 1
TFC
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
TFC
1 - 1
NAN
45%
28%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ASS
2 - 0
TFC
43%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |