Nice vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
LIL
1 - 1
NIC
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
NIC
0 - 2
MAR
33%
29%
39%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 0
NIC
32%
29%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
NIC
3 - 1
ASS
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
NAN
2 - 0
NIC
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
ASS
2 - 2
TFC
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
TFC
0 - 0
LIL
38%
29%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
TFC
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
TFC
1 - 1
LOR
50%
27%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
TFC
1 - 2
GUI
61%
24%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |