Nice vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1963 |
NIC
3 - 3
REN
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1963 |
NIC
3 - 5
LYO
53%
23%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1963 |
REI
4 - 2
NIC
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
ANG
3 - 0
NIC
49%
22%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1963 |
NIC
2 - 0
VAL
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1963 |
TFC
5 - 1
VAL
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
ASN
1 - 2
TFC
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
MPL
1 - 1
TFC
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1963 |
LYO
3 - 3
TFC
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
TFC
0 - 5
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |