Nice vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 1
NIC
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
NIC
3 - 1
ASN
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
LIL
1 - 2
NIC
38%
28%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NIC
2 - 1
GIR
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NAN
1 - 1
NIC
32%
27%
40%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
PSG
5 - 0
MON
55%
22%
24%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PSG
2 - 0
MPL
78%
15%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
MET
2 - 3
PSG
8%
17%
75%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
ANG
0 - 2
PSG
10%
19%
71%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PSG
4 - 0
GUI
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |