Nice vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
44.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1995 |
LEN
2 - 1
NIC
66%
22%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1995 |
NIC
3 - 4
STR
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
PAU
1 - 2
NIC
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
CAN
2 - 0
NIC
69%
21%
10%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1994 |
NIC
0 - 2
LHA
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1995 |
OLY
1 - 1
MAR
9%
20%
71%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
SOC
0 - 0
MAR
28%
29%
44%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1995 |
MAR
0 - 2
ASN
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1994 |
SED
1 - 1
MAR
8%
18%
74%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1994 |
MAR
2 - 0
STA
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |