Nice vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
20.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 7
NIC
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 1
BAS
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 1
MPL
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MON
0 - 1
NIC
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 0
LIL
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 0
MET
66%
22%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MET
0 - 0
REN
30%
27%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ETG
3 - 0
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MET
3 - 0
REI
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 1
MET
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |