Nice vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NIC
1 - 4
LYO
23%
23%
54%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
NÎM
0 - 2
NIC
25%
25%
51%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
NIC
0 - 1
REN
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
HBS
1 - 0
NIC
34%
24%
42%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
REI
0 - 0
NIC
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LOR
0 - 3
REN
25%
26%
50%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
PSG
2 - 0
LOR
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LOR
3 - 0
NÎM
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ANG
2 - 0
LOR
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LOR
0 - 1
MPL
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |