Nice vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 1
NIC
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
MON
3 - 2
NIC
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
NIC
0 - 1
AUX
42%
28%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MPL
1 - 0
NIC
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 4
GIR
24%
25%
51%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 1
TFC
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
PSG
0 - 3
LOR
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
ASN
1 - 0
LOR
45%
27%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 0
LYO
24%
25%
51%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |