Nice vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
LIL
1 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
ASN
1 - 0
NIC
43%
29%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
TRO
2 - 0
NIC
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
GIR
3 - 2
NIC
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
LOR
0 - 0
TRO
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TFC
0 - 0
LOR
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
PSG
3 - 1
LOR
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 3
LYO
16%
23%
60%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
LMU
1 - 1
LOR
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |