Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2022 |
NIC
4 - 2
ASS
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
NIC
0 - 1
NAN
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
GIR
0 - 1
NIC
21%
25%
54%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 0
TRO
59%
24%
18%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
NIC
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2022 |
LIL
1 - 2
MON
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TRO
3 - 0
LIL
19%
25%
57%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LIL
1 - 0
STR
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
REI
2 - 1
LIL
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
LIL
1 - 2
LEN
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |