Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
REI
2 - 0
NIC
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1966 |
NIC
1 - 2
ASS
43%
23%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1966 |
NÎM
1 - 1
NIC
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1966 |
NIC
1 - 4
SOC
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1966 |
NIC
3 - 2
REN
42%
22%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
LIL
1 - 0
FCR
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1966 |
TFC
2 - 1
LIL
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
LIL
0 - 0
ANG
49%
23%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1966 |
REI
0 - 1
LIL
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1966 |
STR
4 - 1
LIL
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -2 |