Nice vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
NIC
59%
23%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
NIC
0 - 0
PSG
29%
29%
42%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2003 |
MPL
2 - 2
NIC
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 0
LIL
35%
30%
36%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
NIC
0 - 0
MET
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
GUI
1 - 2
LHA
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
SEY
1 - 5
GUI
3%
13%
85%
|
82 | 13 | 69 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
GIR
4 - 2
GUI
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
GUI
3 - 3
NAN
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2003 |
GUI
0 - 2
AUX
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |