Nice vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1995 |
MON
1 - 0
NIC
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
NIC
3 - 1
BAS
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
GIR
4 - 1
NIC
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1995 |
NIC
2 - 1
LIL
53%
26%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
PSG
3 - 2
NIC
75%
18%
8%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1995 |
GUI
0 - 0
PSG
17%
23%
60%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
AUX
1 - 2
GUI
79%
14%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
GUI
0 - 0
MET
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1995 |
REN
3 - 0
GUI
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
GUI
1 - 0
LYO
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |