Nice vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
NIC
1 - 1
CAE
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1997 |
STR
3 - 1
NIC
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1997 |
BAS
2 - 2
NIC
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
NIC
0 - 0
MAR
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
GIR
4 - 1
NIC
73%
19%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
FCG
0 - 0
STL
50%
27%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
CHA
1 - 2
FCG
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
AUR
2 - 2
FCG
13%
23%
65%
|
71 | 37 | 34 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
FCG
3 - 1
VAL
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
RED
0 - 0
FCG
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |