Nice vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2012 |
TFC
0 - 0
NIC
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 1
LIL
20%
26%
54%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
NIC
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NIC
1 - 0
AUX
40%
29%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
REN
3 - 1
NIC
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2012 |
ETG
1 - 3
LYO
22%
24%
54%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ETG
2 - 1
AJA
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
MPL
2 - 2
ETG
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ETG
2 - 1
TFC
43%
26%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 3
ETG
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |