Nice vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 2
NIC
42%
29%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
NIC
0 - 0
LYO
20%
26%
54%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
GIR
0 - 0
NIC
63%
23%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
NIC
0 - 2
MON
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
PSG
2 - 3
NIC
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
STR
1 - 4
CAE
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
CAE
2 - 2
REN
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
LYO
2 - 2
CAE
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CAE
3 - 0
PSG
40%
29%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
GIR
2 - 1
CAE
60%
22%
17%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |