Nice vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
37.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
MON
0 - 1
NIC
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
NIC
0 - 1
LYO
22%
26%
53%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
LEN
0 - 0
NIC
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
NIC
1 - 1
NAN
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 1
NIC
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2003 |
AUX
3 - 1
SED
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
AUX
1 - 0
AJA
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
AUX
0 - 0
LEN
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ANG
0 - 0
AUX
17%
27%
56%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
REN
0 - 0
AUX
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |