Nice vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
NAN
4 - 3
NIC
35%
28%
38%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
REN
0 - 0
NIC
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
NAN
0 - 2
NIC
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
NIC
3 - 1
ETG
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
NIC
3 - 0
SOC
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 2
PSG
11%
20%
70%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 2
AJA
4%
11%
85%
|
72 | 10 | 62 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
REI
4 - 1
AJA
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 2
LOR
26%
27%
48%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
AJA
61%
22%
16%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |