League U19 Grupo D round 11

Nice U19 vs Toulouse U19 analysis

Nice U19 Toulouse U19
28 ELO 36
8.6% Tilt 0.4%
7201º General ELO ranking 6722º
215º Country ELO ranking 189º
ELO win probability
39.6%
Nice U19
22.9%
Draw
37.5%
Toulouse U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
Nice U19
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
37.5%
Win probability
Toulouse U19
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nice U19
+23%
+23%
Toulouse U19

Points and table prediction

Nice U19
Their league position
Toulouse U19
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
13º
11º
43
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Montpellier U19
48
51
84%
Olympique Marseille U19
47
48
84%
Ajaccio U19
41
44
54.5%
Toulouse U19
43
43
54.5%
Monaco U19
37
40
80%
Saint-Etienne U19
38
38
80%
Béziers U19
34
35
42%
Bastia U19
34
34
34.5%
Colomiers U19
10º
33
34
25.5%
Air Bel U19
33
33
10º
42.5%
Nice U19
11º
31
32
11º
55%
Istres U19
12º
30
30
12º
77%
Cannes U19
13º
28
28
13º
77%
Blagnac U19
14º
11
11
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nice U19
Toulouse U19
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Nice U19
Toulouse U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nice U19
Nice U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2022
ETI
Saint-Etienne U19
1 - 0
Nice U19
NIC
61%
20%
19%
31 37 6 0
15 Oct. 2022
ABE
Air Bel U19
1 - 0
Nice U19
NIC
32%
22%
47%
32 27 5 -1
09 Oct. 2022
NIC
Nice U19
2 - 2
Cannes U19
CAN
78%
14%
8%
32 21 11 0
02 Oct. 2022
COL
Colomiers U19
1 - 2
Nice U19
NIC
29%
24%
47%
31 27 4 +1
25 Sep. 2022
NIC
Nice U19
0 - 2
Bastia U19
BAS
75%
14%
10%
33 22 11 -2

Matches

Toulouse U19
Toulouse U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2022
TOU
Toulouse U19
1 - 0
Air Bel U19
ABE
66%
17%
17%
34 28 6 0
16 Oct. 2022
CAN
Cannes U19
4 - 2
Toulouse U19
TOU
15%
20%
65%
37 21 16 -3
09 Oct. 2022
TOU
Toulouse U19
2 - 1
Colomiers U19
COL
77%
15%
9%
36 26 10 +1
02 Oct. 2022
BAS
Bastia U19
1 - 5
Toulouse U19
TOU
21%
22%
58%
35 23 12 +1
25 Sep. 2022
TOU
Toulouse U19
3 - 1
Ajaccio U19
AJA
49%
22%
29%
34 34 0 +1