Nice II vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BEZ
0 - 0
NIC
57%
23%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 3
CON
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
NIC
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 2
HYE
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 1
MAR
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 1
ROD
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FCM
3 - 1
VAL
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAN
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
LEP
0 - 0
VAL
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
VAL
4 - 1
TAR
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |