Nice II vs Hyères analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 1
LUZ
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TOU
0 - 2
NIC
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
NIC
0 - 2
CAS
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
GAP
2 - 0
NIC
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
NIC
0 - 0
ALB
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hyères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
HYE
1 - 1
TOU
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CAS
1 - 1
HYE
53%
25%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
HYE
0 - 0
GAP
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
ALB
3 - 2
HYE
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
HYE
0 - 0
AND
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |