Nice II vs Furiani Agliani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
52.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ILE
0 - 2
NIC
13%
18%
70%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 0
CAN
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LUC
2 - 2
NIC
59%
19%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 2
NIC
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 3
FCM
17%
23%
60%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Furiani Agliani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CAN
1 - 1
FUR
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
FUR
1 - 0
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
EUA
1 - 2
FUR
9%
15%
76%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FUR
6 - 2
GRA
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 1
FUR
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |