Nice II vs Annecy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
NIC
3 - 3
MAR
47%
25%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
NIC
0 - 3
MAR
54%
23%
22%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -3 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 1
NIC
42%
25%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
NIC
3 - 1
STA
46%
25%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
FCM
1 - 0
NIC
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Annecy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ANN
0 - 3
FCM
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
GRE
5 - 0
ANN
57%
22%
22%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
RAO
1 - 2
ANN
15%
22%
64%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ANN
2 - 1
BEL
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
PSG
1 - 0
ANN
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |