Nicaragua SD vs San Fernando CD C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93%
Win probability
3.96
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.1%
7-0
3.4%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.4%
6-0
6.1%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.1%
5-0
9.2%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.9%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
5%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5%
1.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
HOR
3 - 6
NIC
18%
16%
66%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
NIC
7 - 1
CDB
75%
14%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAT
2 - 6
NIC
7%
11%
82%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NIC
4 - 1
RFA
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 7
NIC
8%
12%
80%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
San Fernando CD C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CSF
2 - 8
RAN
10%
13%
77%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FLE
8 - 1
CSF
51%
19%
29%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CSF
1 - 3
USJ
13%
16%
71%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CSF
1 - 6
ZCC
5%
11%
84%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CSF
4 - 2
RNG
47%
20%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |