Newtown vs Port Talbot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
POR
2 - 0
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 2
NEW
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 2
CAR
46%
24%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PRE
2 - 2
NEW
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 0
NAC
87%
10%
3%
|
57 | 6 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
POR
2 - 0
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ABE
0 - 3
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
POR
1 - 5
TNS
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CEF
2 - 1
POR
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |