Newtown vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
CEF
0 - 2
NEW
42%
26%
33%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
LID
1 - 3
NEW
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
NEW
2 - 1
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
BAN
2 - 3
NEW
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
NEW
1 - 1
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
HAV
0 - 0
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
BAN
1 - 1
HAV
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
HAV
0 - 0
POR
69%
19%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
WEL
1 - 1
HAV
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
HAV
6 - 1
AIR
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |