Newtown vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BAN
5 - 2
NEW
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 1
AIR
47%
25%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
TNS
4 - 0
NEW
83%
12%
4%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 2
CEF
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 0
NEW
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
RHY
29%
24%
47%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
POR
3 - 0
CAR
37%
26%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 2
LLA
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
LLA
0 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
WEL
1 - 1
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |