Newton Aycliffe vs Northallerton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newton Aycliffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 0
GUI
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
WES
3 - 1
NEW
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SUN
2 - 1
NEW
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
BIS
1 - 0
NEW
21%
21%
58%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
PIC
0 - 1
NEW
11%
16%
73%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Northallerton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 3
TOW
50%
21%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
RAF
2 - 1
NOR
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
NEW
20%
19%
61%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
NOR
38%
22%
40%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
WES
1 - 0
NOR
84%
11%
6%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |