Non League Div One Northern East Round 34

Newton Aycliffe vs Dunston UTS analysis

Newton Aycliffe Dunston UTS
34 ELO 37
6% Tilt 2.7%
7885º General ELO ranking 7824º
325º Country ELO ranking 324º
ELO win probability
49.3%
Newton Aycliffe
22.2%
Draw
28.5%
Dunston UTS

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
Newton Aycliffe
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.5%
Win probability
Dunston UTS
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Newton Aycliffe
Their league position
Dunston UTS
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
18º
72
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hebburn Town
81
84
100%
Stockton Town
80
80
100%
Dunston UTS
72
72
100%
Pontefract Collieries
70
70
100%
Carlton Town
65
65
100%
Newton Aycliffe
60
60
100%
Belper Town FC
57
57
38%
North Ferriby United
57
57
38%
Cleethorpes Town
56
56
58%
Liversedge
10º
51
55
10º
58%
Grimsby Borough
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Consett AFC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Sheffield FC
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Ashington AFC
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Stocksbridge Park Steels
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Bridlington Town
16º
36
36
16º
0%
Brighouse Town
17º
36
36
17º
16%
Ossett United
18º
35
35
18º
57%
Winterton Rangers FC
19º
35
35
19º
67%
Grantham Town
20º
34
34
20º
67%
Expected probabilities
Newton Aycliffe
Dunston UTS
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Newton Aycliffe
Dunston UTS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Newton Aycliffe
Newton Aycliffe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
NEW
Newton Aycliffe
1 - 3
Carlton Town
CAR
62%
20%
19%
38 33 5 0
06 Apr. 2024
BRI
Bridlington Town
3 - 5
Newton Aycliffe
NEW
18%
21%
61%
38 25 13 0
30 Mar. 2024
SHE
Sheffield FC
1 - 1
Newton Aycliffe
NEW
35%
23%
42%
38 33 5 0
23 Mar. 2024
NEW
Newton Aycliffe
2 - 0
Winterton Rangers FC
WIN
78%
14%
8%
37 24 13 +1
16 Mar. 2024
STO
Stocksbridge Park Steels
1 - 0
Newton Aycliffe
NEW
21%
22%
57%
39 29 10 -2

Matches

Dunston UTS
Dunston UTS
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
SHE
Sheffield FC
3 - 2
Dunston UTS
DUN
31%
23%
45%
38 31 7 0
09 Apr. 2024
DUN
Dunston UTS
3 - 3
Sheffield FC
SHE
66%
18%
16%
39 31 8 -1
06 Apr. 2024
DUN
Dunston UTS
3 - 0
Grimsby Borough
GBO
61%
20%
19%
38 34 4 +1
30 Mar. 2024
DUN
Dunston UTS
3 - 1
Brighouse Town
BRI
78%
14%
8%
38 24 14 0
26 Mar. 2024
HEB
Hebburn Town
4 - 0
Dunston UTS
DUN
43%
24%
33%
39 37 2 -1