Newry City vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2008 |
BAL
2 - 3
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
NEW
6 - 1
ARD
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIN
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
ARD
1 - 5
NEW
35%
24%
42%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
COL
1 - 0
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
LIS
0 - 0
BAN
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CLI
0 - 0
LIS
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
BAN
1 - 4
LIS
31%
24%
46%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LIS
1 - 0
BAL
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
LIN
0 - 2
LIS
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |