Newry City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 1
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 1
COL
22%
26%
52%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 1
WAR
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 0
NEW
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 1
INS
33%
25%
43%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
INS
1 - 4
CRU
12%
19%
69%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 1
INS
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
INS
1 - 4
GLE
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |