Newry City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 0
COL
43%
24%
34%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
INS
1 - 3
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
POR
0 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
14%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BAL
1 - 1
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
POR
2 - 0
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
POR
2 - 1
INS
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
INS
1 - 3
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
INS
2 - 2
COL
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
INS
2 - 0
BAN
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
INS
2 - 0
POR
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |