Newry City vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
6º
6º
6º
50
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
50 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 0 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 2
DUN
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GLE
3 - 2
NEW
71%
18%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
CRU
10%
19%
71%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LIN
6 - 0
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
53%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 2
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 3
LIN
24%
25%
50%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |