Non League Div One Isthmian Round 41

Newport Isle of Wight FC vs Croydon analysis

Newport Isle of Wight FC Croydon
24 ELO 20
2.7% Tilt 2.9%
25221º General ELO ranking 23666º
1124º Country ELO ranking 1063º
ELO win probability
58.8%
Newport Isle of Wight FC
21.3%
Draw
19.9%
Croydon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
Newport Isle of Wight FC
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.9%
Win probability
Croydon
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Newport Isle of Wight FC
Croydon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Newport Isle of Wight FC
Newport Isle of Wight FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2005
NEW
Newport Isle of Wight FC
3 - 2
Dulwich Hamlet FC
DUL
25%
24%
51%
21 33 12 0
09 Apr. 2005
COR
Corinthian-Casuals
0 - 3
Newport Isle of Wight FC
NEW
72%
17%
11%
20 29 9 +1
02 Apr. 2005
CRA
Cray Wanderers
5 - 0
Newport Isle of Wight FC
NEW
82%
12%
6%
20 46 26 0
28 Mar. 2005
NEW
Newport Isle of Wight FC
1 - 1
Bashley
BAS
17%
21%
62%
19 35 16 +1
26 Mar. 2005
WAL
Walton & Hersham
1 - 0
Newport Isle of Wight FC
NEW
76%
16%
8%
19 38 19 0

Matches

Croydon
Croydon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2005
BAN
Banstead Athletic
6 - 0
Croydon
CRO
58%
22%
21%
21 24 3 0
09 Apr. 2005
CRO
Croydon
1 - 3
Leatherhead
LEA
18%
22%
61%
22 41 19 -1
02 Apr. 2005
HOR
Horsham
2 - 1
Croydon
CRO
81%
13%
6%
22 42 20 0
28 Mar. 2005
CRO
Croydon
3 - 1
Croydon Athletic
CRO
20%
23%
56%
19 35 16 +3
25 Mar. 2005
FLE
Fleet Town
0 - 0
Croydon
CRO
67%
19%
15%
19 23 4 0