Newport County vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
WAL
0 - 1
NEW
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 2
FOR
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
EXE
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
SOU
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 0
GRI
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
STE
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
STE
1 - 1
WAL
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 1
STE
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 0
STE
51%
26%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
TRA
0 - 1
STE
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |