Newport County vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
63%
23%
14%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
EXE
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CRE
3 - 2
NEW
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 1
LEI
14%
21%
65%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
STE
1 - 0
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
CUM
28%
26%
47%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
BRO
3 - 0
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CRA
0 - 1
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
POR
0 - 3
COL
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
STF
19%
22%
60%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |