Newport County vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CUM
0 - 1
NEW
71%
18%
12%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
DAG
0 - 0
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 2
MOR
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 3
YOR
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
SWI
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 3
STA
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
NOT
4 - 1
CRA
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 1
YEO
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 0
CRA
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 0
WYC
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |