Newport County vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
LEY
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
EXE
1 - 0
NEW
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 1
NEW
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
STE
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 0
NEW
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 1
PLY
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
CHE
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 1
CAM
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 3
CHE
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |