Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
NOB
1 - 0
IND
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
SAR
2 - 1
NOB
35%
29%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
NOB
0 - 0
ALD
60%
24%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
GLP
1 - 0
NOB
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
NOB
1 - 2
VEL
29%
27%
45%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAU
3 - 1
CEN
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
CAU
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
CAU
1 - 1
RAC
31%
28%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SAR
3 - 4
CAU
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
CAU
1 - 2
PLA
65%
23%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |